Stock Market Forecast: Chaos Theory Revealing How the Market Works

I Know First Research | May 8th 2014

How Can We Predict the Financial Markets by Using Algorithms? Common fallacies about markets claim markets are unpredictable. However, chaos theory together with powerful algorithms proves such statements are wrong. Markets are chaotic systems with complex dynamics, yet to a certain extent we can make valid stock market forecasts. Using these forecasts generated by cutting-edge predictive algorithms together with a careful risk management strategy may give a trader a significant competitive advantage.

Markets Are Complex Systems

Looking at the common fallacies about stock markets, we can see two major groups. The first group is connected to the classical economic theory, which claims that markets are 100% efficient, and as such unpredictable. However, trying to make predictions regarding the markets is useless anyway, as no stock can be possibly be a better deal than another. Both of them are efficient and everybody in the market has perfect information available to them. From our daily lives it is obvious that this does not truly reflect reality. There are people who actually profit trading stocks, which should not be possible in this idealistic market of economy theories.

Algorithmic Services Based on Predictive Analytics

Algorithmic Trading With I Know First Versus High Frequency Trading

Algorithmic Trading

Competition between investment firms is more intense than ever before as firms are expected to be able to beat the S&P 500 on a regular basis to retain and attract new investors. The market is evolving beyond previously established theories however investors still expect strong and consistent returns. Traditional tools and fundamental analysis are no longer enough to stay competitive in the contemporary market. Investment firms need to stay one step ahead in order to be the first to recognize trends and take advantage of opportunities. To stay competitive they are looking to employ the most advanced tools to enhance performance. Algorithmic trading is now a growing trend filling this void. Algorithmic “Buy” and “Sell” orders account for 60%-70% of the US equity market volume. Previously, only large investment firms and hedge funds were able to utilize these advanced mathematical models but I Know First: Daily Market Forecast, a financial start-up, has developed an advanced self-learning algorithm that is being employed by professionals and retail investors alike.

Stock Market Predictions: Where In The Feedback Loop Is Your Portfolio?

Summary

  • Why you can beat the market, even when it does not seem so.
  • The importance of loops, patterns, and predictable events.
  • Random events are don’t measure risks, and should not affect your decision making.
Some traders follow the trend, and some go against it. At IKnowFirst we work on algorithmic strategies which are neither, we simply try an asses where the next opportunity is. If this means to do what everyone else does, than why not. If it means going against when everyone else does, this is also fine. The tricky part is determining where this opportunities are, this article will discuss how to find opportunities in what can seem as total randomness.

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