I Know First Reviews Weekly Algorithmic Performance: September 11th 2016

I Know First Reviews

On September 11th, 2016, our latest newsletter was sent out to all our I Know First subscriber, which can be found here. Below, find the I Know First Reviews, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.
I Know First Reviews

I Know First sends a weekly newsletter every Sunday to all the I Know First subscribers, highlighting the past week’s performance in all the covered financial markets, i.e. equity positions, currencies, and commodities. Additionally, the weekly newsletter includes analysis and updated news reports regarding prominent firms such as well Apple, Yahoo, Baidu, and more. The I Know First algorithm maintains a bullish stance of the firms analyzed, and our subscribers are able to utilize these tools for their investment strategies. The in-depth analysis is provided by the I Know First financial analysts, who are often times as well top rated authors for prominent financial sites such as Seeking Alpha.

In general, the algorithm is made up of The system is a predictive stock forecast algorithm based on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning with elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms incorporated in it. This means the algorithm is able to create, modify, and delete relationships between different financial assets. Based on the relationships and the latest market data, the algorithm calculates its forecasts. Since the algorithm learns from its previous forecasts and is continuously adapting the relationships, it adapts quickly to changing market situations.

For a more detailed explanation, regarding the algorithm, click here.

As highlighted in the newsletter, our subscribers had seen superb returns, whether long-term or short-term. Our investors are able to tackle the market head on with all its recent uncertainties, and achieve premiums well over those offered by institutional and classic fund managers. For example, our Brazilian Stock package on June 8th, 2016, had seen over a 224% return, and an outstanding overall average premium of 53.77% above the SP500s 3.27% return. As shown below, our algorithm had correctly forecasted 100% of the stocks in a bullish manner, for the 3 Month forecast.

I Know First Reviews

Furthermore, within a mere 7 day forex forecast, the algorithm was able to predict almost a 70% hit ratio. Accurately predicted many currency movements, like between GBP/JPY and GBP/USD, using data driven machine learning to showing currency rebounds from Brexit.

I Know First Reviews

Every week the top performing financial instruments are highlighted, as shown below from this past week’s newsletter.

1. The Week’s Top Forecasts: 229% In 3 Months
I Know First’s top-performing stocks came from the Transportation, Small Cap,Volatility Forecast, and Risk-Conscious packages this week. The highest returning stock was GOL from the Transportation package with an incredible 228.81% in only 3 months. ^VXO also performed excellently in the Volatility Forecast with a40.57% return in a week. CWEI and BVX also performed extraordinarily with returns peaking at 52% in 1 month in the Small Cap package. The highest average return came from the Transportation Stocks package and was 41.27%. Additional high average returns for these forecasts were 13.35%, 12.20%, and 8.11%, respectively. These easily outperformed the S&P 500’s average returns of 3.55%, -0.07%, -1.98%, and 0.48%

2. Stock Forecast: Daily Stock Selection based on a Self-Learning Algorithm
This article shows the results of trading using the I Know First algorithm. From the period of January 7th through August 31st, I Know First returned up to 49.10%while the S&P 500 returned only 9.08%. For more data about the tests read the full article.

3. Greatest 3-Month Returns:
In the 3-month time period, the highest returns came from the Brazil Stocks,Small Cap Stocks, and Top 10 Stocks packages. This stock returned 244.38% in just 3 months. Other excellent returns came from CWEI and NRP with 128.53% and106.39%. The averages for these forecasts were 57.04%, 33.93%, and 14.08%, which significantly outperformed the S&P 500’s 3.27%, 4.15%.

4. Month-Long Returns Reaching 50%:
The best performing 30-day forecasts were from the 52 Weeks High,Fundamental, and Computer Industry packages. The greatest return came from BVX with 51.15% in the 52 Weeks High package. SINA and HWAY increased significantly as well with 46.34% and 45.79%. The I Know First averages were 14.04%, 12.98%, and 12.45% within 7 days as opposed to the S&P 500’s low returns of 0.73%, and 0.15%.

5. 14-Day Returns up to 38.33%
In the last 14 days, the greatest returns came from these packages: Top 10 Stocks, European Stocks, and Bank Stocks. The largest growth came from a stockin the European Stock package with 38.33%. CHK and GNW also returned a strong23.64% and 16.67%. These forecasts averaged 6.93%, 6.16%, and 5.08 which beat out the S&P 500’s 0.27%, 0.18%, and -0.03%.

6. 7-Day Returns Reach 30.37%
The Risk-Conscious, International, Transportation, and Currency were the strongest returning 7-day packages this week. MTL returned 30.37% in the International package making it the top week-long earner. The Currency Forecast had a hit ratio of 69.23%GOL and TOO also performed well with 22.44% and 18.12%. These packages had average returns of 9.26%, 8.41%, and 8.11% compared to the S&P 500’s 0.46% and 0.48%.

7. Returns Topping 18.57% in 3 Days
The most impressive 3-day returns came from the 52 Weeks High, Fundamental, and Brazil Stock packages. This stock returned 18.57% in only 3 days. LEE and GOL performed superbly returning 16.67% and 13.67%. The I Know First averages for these forecasts were 6.28%, 5.98%, and 5.79%. This eclipsed the S&P 500’s small return of 0.72%.

8. During the past week, both co-founders of I Know First, Yaron Golgher (CEO) and Dr. Roitman (CTO), were featured for an interview on Euro Money, to discuss at length the future of AI algorithmic trading, specifically with regards to forex trading.

Article Summaries

  1. On July 24th, 2016, an I Know First analyst published an article about Intel. He believed that investors should take advantage of the post-earnings drop in stock price. The firing in employees is what caused the low earnings estimate, but Intel is still a leader in desktop and server processors. The analyst predicted a rebound in stock price and the I Know First algorithm agreed. Since then, INTC increased 28% in accordance with the analyst and algorithm’s predictions.
  2. A little over a month ago an I Know First analyst wrote an article about Seagate. He predicted a stock increase due to the consolidating PC market. Furthermore, Seagate will produce products that will outwit competitors. Strong smartphone sales would also help Seagate perform well. The I Know First algorithm also believed Seagate was undervalued. Since then, STX increased 25% which both the analyst and the algorithm predicted would happen.
  3. This article, published by an I Know First analyst on July 19th, 2016, analyzed MasterCard. The analyst believed MasterCard will likely increase. MasterCard has been expanding payment platforms which makes their services easier to use for all. They also redesigned their logo and are making an effort to widen their customer base in untapped countries. They were also adversely affected from Brexit, which was likely to be a short-term dip. The algorithm agreed and believed the stock will increase as well. MA has risen 10% since then, which proved both the analyst and algorithm’s predictions accurate.
  4. This article, published mid-July, analyzed Cheniere Energy. It discussed reasons LNG will likely increase. New CEO Jack Fusco can bring new innovations to Cheniere. Cheniere also started exporting natural gas to Europe (making it the first US company to do so). Natural gas’s price is also hiking which benefits Cheniere. Both the analyst and the algorithm rated LNG a buy. LNG has risen 17% since then proving their predictions correct.


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