World stock indices: 21.6 percent gain in 3 months

World stock indices forecast from February 5 2013 (before market opening) based on "I Know First" algorithm.

The indexes forecast includes predictions for:

The top

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Stock Market Forecast: Two Recovery Signals Based on Algorithms

By Lipa Roitman Ph.D

March 17 2013
=&2=& We are now near the end of the first quarter, and it’s time to summarize our end-of-2012 forecasts and compare them with the outcomes.   On November 8 2012, when the S&P500 stood at 1377.51 we wrote: “the long-term forecast for a year ahead is improving, meaning the S&P 500 will be mostly higher next year than what where it’s at today” . It is indeed higher today by 12.6%.   At the end of December in “Fiscal Cliff or Not, the Economy is Recovering” we reported on the first signs of economic recovery, as detected by the I Know First algorithms. During the following ten weeks the signs got stronger.   First recovery signals It all began last November. Just when everyone was expecting another year of depression, suddenly the I Know First algorithms showed strong signs of upcoming market recovery. And the important part is that the signs were all over the world. The signals came in two waves: After the mid-November lows most of the world indices have shown the first series of up signals in the second half of November. And the market went up in two pushes, making a pause the end of December. They resumed a push in January.   =&3=& The strong up signals returned in February, and the second series of I Know First algorithm signals were mostly stronger than the first ones. The up signals were of different relative strengths, but consistently positive.   =&4=& The importance of the up signals was amplified by their consistency across many markets. They appeared simultaneously in many leading stocks and the world and sector indices. Green color (up signals) has been the predominant color of I Know First forecast tables ever since November 2012.   Humans vs the Algorithms Human logic is always struggling with questions: “how much is too much”, “is it better to wait for correction?”  On the other hand the algorithms give an answer based on numbers, not on emotions.   One more comment: One should pay attention to signal strength: DJT (Transportation) and XAL (airline) indexes (see below) gave the strongest and most persistent signals among indexes below; they also gave the highest returns.   =&5=& Each point on these charts was taken from the actual daily forecast published the morning before the next market open. Each forecast contains six different time horizon forecasts, from three days ahead to one year ahead. The charts show the actual price in thick blue. The positive or negative (Up or Down) signals of the forecast were added to the actual last known price at the time of forecast to result in signal lines. Thus, when the signal line is above the actual line, it means "buy," if below, it means "sell". The green and red arrows show what would be the best times to enter the market. The widely ranging signals are scaled relative to the previous average signal range to bring them into manageable scale to fit them all in one chart. The green and red arrows show what would be the best times to enter the market.   =&6=&

World stock indices: 23.9 percent gain in 90 days

World stock indices forecast from February 1 2013 (before market opening) based on "I Know First" algorithm.

The indexes forecast includes predictions for:

The top

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Best stocks to buy: 45.4 percent gain in 3 months

Best stocks to buy from January 14 (before market opening) based on "I Know First" stock algorithm.

The stock forecast includes predictions for:

The

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Currency forecast: 2.9 percent drop in 90 days

Currency forecast from January 31 2013 based on "I Know First" algorithm
Time horizon of the forecast: 90 trading days from  January 31 till April 30 2013.
The forecast includes prediction for the major world currencies:

  • Forecast for USD/BRL
  • Forecast for USD/INR
  • Forecast for EUR/USD
  • Forecast for EUR/GBP
  • Get today’s currency forecast

Currency forecast for the next 90 days

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Best stocks to buy today

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