NFLX Stock Forecast: Navigating Growth, Valuation, and Industry Dynamics in the Streaming Era

December 11, 2023
Zheman ZhongThis NFLX Stock Analysis article was written by Zheman Zhong – Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Netflix maintains a dominant position in the global streaming market with over 238 million subscribers and significant potential for expansion, particularly in Asia.
  • Financial analysis shows a healthy profit margin and robust revenue streams, primarily from streaming services, with a notable growth in screen time share from 6% to 8.2% between May 2021 and June 2023.
  • Strategic content development and affordable pricing models position Netflix for sustained growth despite increasing competition and market saturation in North America.
  • Market valuation metrics suggest Netflix may be undervalued compared to peers, indicating a potential investment opportunity given its strong operational performance and expansive content library.

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Netflix Stock Forecast: The Expansion To Video Games Can Boost NFLX to $600

July 22, 2021

motek 1The Netflix stock forecast was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • My July 2020 take-your-profits recommendation for Netflix was correct. Netflix’s stock is now trading below $515.
  • Going forward, the recent announcement that Netflix is expanding to video games convinced me this stock is worth buying again.
  • In-app purchases from Netflix-developed mobile games can offset the big slowdown in subscriber growth.
  • Bundling free-to-play mobile games with subscription plans help Netflix retains the loyalty of its 208 million subscribers.
  • Netflix will likely maintain its $17 billion/year on producing original TV shows and movies. However, it will also allocate a few billion to game development.

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Netflix Stock Predictions: Take Your Profits On Netflix

July 19, 2020
motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Netflix’s stock was trading less than $370 when I made my April 5 buy rating for it. The stock closed at $527 on July 16.
  • A capital gain of over 30% should be enough. NFLX went as high as $573 but the market is again feeling nervous. It dropped by more than 9% after Q2 ER.
  • Yes, the pandemic is still ongoing but I believe NFLX has maxed out its tailwind from COVID-19. I don’t expect substantial global subscription growth.
  • The persistent pandemic is forcing companies to reduce operations. This is leading to a global-wide employment loss.
  • Pandemic-caused job cuts is bad for Netflix’s paid subscription business model. Most people cannot subscribe to Netflix if they are no longer employed.

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NFLX Stock Forecast: Netflix Is Keeping Up Through Content Creation

November 8, 2018

 

This article was written by Julia Masch, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

 

Highlights

  • A Phenomenal Recovery In The Third Quarter
  • Content Creation To Combat A Saturated Streaming Landscape
  • Current I Know First Bullish Forecast For NFLX

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NFLX Stock Forecast: 46.19% Gain In 1 Month

February 15, 2015

NFLX Stock Forecast

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) was a Tech Stock pick based nflx stock forecaston predictive algorithm recommended to I Know First subscribers on January 13th for the 1-months time horizon in the “Tech Stock Picks Using Data Mining” forecast. Netflix had a signal of 10.04 and a predictability of 0.41. In accordance with the algorithm, the company reported short-term capital gains of 46.19%.

Netflix was part of the stock forecast that can be found in the “Tech Stocks” Package.

The full Top 10 Tech Stocks forecast includes a daily prediction for a total of 20 stocks with bullish and bearish signals:

  • Top ten stocks picks to long
  • Top ten stocks picks to short

nflx stock forecast

Algorithmic Performance

NFLX Stock Forecast: 34.39% Gain Since Jan. 7th

January 25, 2015

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) was a top stock pick based on predictive algorithm recommended to I Know First subscribers on January 7th for the 3-month time horizon. Netflix had a signal of 50.16 and a predictability of 0.46. In accordance with the algorithm, the company reported short-term capital gains of 34.39%.

NFLX was part of the stock forecast that can be found in the “Best Stocks” Package.

The full Top 10 Tech Stocks forecast includes a daily prediction for a total of 20 stocks with bullish and bearish signals:

  • Top ten stocks picks to long
  • Top ten stocks picks to short

nflx stock forecast

Algorithmic Performance