Bayesian Neural Networks: Bayes’ Theorem Applied to Deep Learning

  The article was written by Amber Zhou, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Highlights:

  • Vanilla Deep Learning Method: Multilayer Perceptron (MLP)
  • Introduction to Bayes’ Theorem
  • Application of Bayes’ Theorem: Bayesian Inference
  • Combination: Bayesian Neural Networks
  • How I Know First Utilizes Bayesian Neural Networks for Forecasting

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The New Workforce: The Impact of AI on Human Investors

The Impact of AI on Human Investors

Our intelligence is what makes us human, and AI is an extension of that quality.” – Yann LeCun

Summary:

  • A growing fear in the financial sector is that robots will soon replace quantitative hedge fund managers and traders.
  • Potential uses for AI within the financial sector include ‘Algo-trading’ and portfolio management.
  • To date very few financial institutions are confident to grant full managerial control to a machine.
  • The I Know First Market Prediction System models and predicts the flow of money between the markets.

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Bayesian Inference and I Know First’s Application

   


This article was written by Kwon Sok Oh, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.    




Summary

  1. Introduction of Bayesian Inference and BAC Example
  2. Prior Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  3. Likelihood Function: Concepts and BAC Example
  4. Posterior Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  5. Posterior Predictive Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  6. Conclusion of Discussion and BAC Example
  7. I Know First and Bayesian Neural Networks

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Stock Recommendations Using Neural Networks: An Average Return of 30.59% in 1 Year

Package Name: Tech Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long & Short
I Know First Average: 30.59% Long; 14.23% Short

Read The Full Forecast

Stock Recommendations

Algorithmic Trading For The Individual Investor

Algorithmic Trading

The slideshow demonstrates the incredible abilities of artificial intelligence and thus illustrates how utilising artificial intelligence can make a significant difference when picking stocks. Through describing how the algorithm functions, one begins to comprehend how the algorithm manages to forecast such accurate stock predictions.

The advantages of I Know First’s quantitative trading strategy where investors themselves make the important money-making decisions – rather than machines – are clear. Likewise, I Know First’s experienced algorithm make algo-trading less

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Oil Price Forecast: 8.56% Average Return in 14 Days

Oil Price Forecast

Recommended Commodities and Positions:

Long:
  • ICE Brent Crude Oil Futures (^BL1)
  • ICE NYMEX Crude Oil Futures (^CL1)
Forecast Length: 14 Days (03/06/15 - 03/20/15)
I Know First Average: 8.56%

oil price forecast

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Algo Trading By Using Neural Networks:Up To 80.85% (Long) & 10.63% (Short) Return In 1 Month

Algo Trading By Using Neural Networks

This Best Tech Stocks forecast is designed for investors and analysts who need predictions of the best performing stocks for the whole Technology Industry. It includes 20 stocks with bullish and bearish signals and indicates the best tech stocks to buy:
  • Top 10 tech stocks for the long position
  • Top 10 tech stocks for the short position
Package Name: Tech Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long and Short
24 07 2013 10 48 51 Best Investments Based on Algorithms: 8.19% Gain in 14 DaysForecast Length: 1 Month (23/12/14 – 23/01/15)
I Know First Average: 4.92%(Long) and 2.30% (Short)
Get the “Top Tech Stocks” Package. Algo trading By using neural networks